The number bias

how numbers dominate our world and why that's a problem we need to fix

'The Number Bias combines vivid storytelling with authoritative analysis to deliver a warning about the way numbers can lead us astray - if we let them.' TIM HARFORD Even if you don't consider yourself a numbers person, you are a numbers person. The time has ...

Multilevel and Longitudinal Modeling Using Stata

Volume 1: Continuous Responses

Multilevel and Longitudinal Modeling Using Stata, Fourth Edition, is a complete resource for learning to model data in which observations are grouped. With comprehensive coverage, researchers who need to apply multilevel models will find this book to be the perfect companion. It is also the ...

La función estadística pública

estudio desde una perspectiva jurídica de la estadística oficial en España

Este libro pretende profundizar, desde un punto de vista jurídico, en los rasgos que caracterizan y delimitan la función estadística pública, esto es, la actividad de los poderes públicos que se sirven de la ciencia estadística para la recogida y análisis de un conjunto de ...

Las leyes del azar

e la entropía al algoritmo de Google (y otros caminantes aleatorios). Cómo la probabilidad y la estadística explican el mundo que nos rodea

Somos víctimas del abuso estadístico y de nuestra incompetencia en cálculo de probabilidades por nuestro analfabetismo numérico, por nuestro «anumerismo», como gusta decir al lógico Douglas Hofstadter. La brecha entre las dos culturas, las humanidades y las ciencias, nos ha conducido a situaciones tan paradójicas ...

Big Data Science in Finance

Data science has fundamentally changed Wall Street—applied mathematics and software code are increasingly driving finance and investment-decision tools. Big Data Science in Finance examines the mathematics, theory, and practical use of the revolutionary techniques that are transforming the industry. Designed for mathematically-advanced students and ...

50 principios de la ciencia de datos

innovaciones fundamentales

La ciencia de datos es un ecosistema artificial emergente que configura una nueva era de la información, y que permite desde localizar delincuentes hasta predecir epidemias. Pero ¿sabe qué hay detrás de esas ingentes cantidades de datos obtenidos por nuestros ordenadores, teléfonos inteligentes y tarjetas ...

Los números no mienten

71 historias para entender el mundo

Un maestro de los datos y las estadísticas ofrece una visión del mundo tan sorprendente como iluminadora. ¿Es peligroso volar? ¿Qué es peor para el medioambiente, un coche o un móvil? ¿Cuánto pesan todas las vacas del mundo juntos y por qué ese dato importa ...

10 reglas para comprender el mundo

cómo los números pueden explicar (y mejorar) lo que sucede

¿Cuándo leíste por última vez unas cifras en un titular y te preguntaste si realmente eran ciertas? ¿Sabes que hay una herramienta que te ayuda a verlo todo con mayor nitidez y no son unas gafas de rayos X? Se trata de los números y ...

The Luck Factor

why some people are luckier than others and how you can become one of them

Luck. We can't see it, or touch it, but we can feel it. We all know it when we experience it. But does it go deeper than this? And if it goes deeper, does it do so in any way which we can harness ...

Confident data skills

how to work with data and futureproof your career

Data has dramatically changed how our world works. Understanding and using data is now one of the most transferable and desirable skills. Whether you're an entrepreneur wanting to boost your business, a jobseeker looking for that employable edge, or simply hoping to make the ...

El libro del porqué

la nueva ciencia de la causa y el efecto

Este libro narra la historia de una ciencia que, a pesar de haber transformado la manera en la que distinguimos los hechos de la acción, apenas ha recibido la atención del público general. Las consecuencias de esta nueva ciencia ya están impactando en facetas cruciales ...

Ultimate price

the value we place on life

How much is a human life worth? Individuals, families, companies, and governments routinely place a price on human life. The calculations that underlie these price tags are often buried in technical language, yet they influence our economy, laws, behaviors, policies, health, and safety. These price ...

America by the numbers

quantification, democracy, and the birth of national statistics

When the Great Depression struck, the US government lacked tools to assess the situation; there was no reliable way to gauge the unemployment rate, the number of unemployed, or how many families had abandoned their farms to become migrants. In America by the Numbers, Emmanuel ...

Bad data

why we measure the wrong things and often miss the metrics that matter

Highlights the pitfalls of data analysis and emphasizes the importance of using the appropriate metrics before making key decisions. Big data is often touted as the key to understanding almost every aspect of contemporary life. This critique of "information hubris" shows that even more important ...

Supertrends

50 things you need to know about the future

Futurists are in the business of predicting the future. What do the most efficient futurists know? You’ll find the answer inside Supertrends: 50 Things You Need to Know About the Future. Discover how we can expect the world to evolve in terms of demographics ...

Will you be alive 10 years from now?

and numerous other curious questions in probability

What are the chances of a game-show contestant finding a chicken in a box? Is the Hanukkah dreidel a fair game? Will you be alive ten years from now? These are some of the one-of-a-kind probability puzzles that popular math writer Paul Nahin offers in ...

The uncounted

What we count matters - and in a world where policies and decisions are underpinned by numbers, statistics and data, if you’re not counted, you don’t count. Alex Cobham argues that systematic gaps in economic and demographic data not only lead us to understate ...

Ten great ideas about chance

A fascinating account of the breakthrough ideas that transformed probability and statistics In the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries, gamblers and mathematicians transformed the idea of chance from a mystery into the discipline of probability, setting the stage for a series of breakthroughs that enabled or ...

Game-theoretic foundations for probability and finance

Glenn Shafer and Vladimir Vovk’s Probability and Finance, published in 2001, showed that perfect-information games can be used to define mathematical probability. Based on fifteen years of further research, Game-Theoretic Foundations for Probability and Finance presents a mature view of the foundational role game ...

Data visualization

a practical introduction

An accessible primer on how to create effective graphics from data This book provides students and researchers a hands-on introduction to the principles and practice of data visualization. It explains what makes some graphs succeed while others fail, how to make high-quality figures from data ...